Week 8: The challenges of tiny probabilities
Week 8: The challenges of tiny probabilities
Essential readings:
Beckstead, N. & T. Thomas. 2023. "A paradox for tiny probabilities and enormous values". Nous. https://doi.org/10.1111/nous.12462
(Excluding Section 5) Wilkinson, H. "Egyptology and fanaticism". Unpublished manuscript. https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/egyptology-and-fanaticism-hayden-wilkinson/
Suggested readings:
Kosonen, P. "Tiny Probabilities and the Value of the Var Future". Unpublished manuscript. https://www.petrakosonen.com/research/tiny-probabilities-and-the-value-of-the-far-future-gpi.pdf
Tarsney, C. "Against Anti-Fanaticism". Unpublished manuscript. https://philpapers.org/archive/TARAAS.pdf